KMap
I am a paleoclimatologist, dendrochronologist, and earth systems geographer specializing in the reconstruction and analysis of climate variability and change over the Common Era and the interaction between past climate and human society.

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Courses
  • EEIPG
    Earth's Environment: Introduction to Physical Geography

  • TCS
    The Climate System

  • OCC
    Our Changing Climate

Grants
  • Funding agency logo
    Track 2 MRI: Acquisition of a mini carbon dating system for multi-millennial, multi-user sequences of annually resolved 14C and other high precision applications

    Co-Investigator (COI)

    2022

    $2.0M
    Active
  • Funding agency logo
    Track 2 MRI: Acquisition of a mini carbon dating system for multi-millennial, multi-user sequences of annually resolved 14C and other high precision applications

    Co-Investigator (COI)

    2022

    $752.0K
    Active
  • Funding agency logo
    Collaborative Research: Tracking Divergent Warming and Tree Growth at Arctic Treeline

    Principal Investigator (PI)

    2022

    $204.0K
    Active
  • Funding agency logo
    Collaborative Research: P2C2 - High-Resolution Reconstruction of Last Millennium North American Arctic Temperatures Using Quantitative Wood Anatomy

    Principal Investigator (PI)

    2021

    $471.7K
    Active
  • Funding agency logo
    paleoCAMP: A Multidisciplinary Summer School For Graduate Students In Paleoclimatology

    Co-Investigator (COI)

    2021

    $425.2K
    Active
  • Funding agency logo
    Rainfall Variability, Extreme Events, and Vulnerability in Heterogeneous Social and Environmental Systems

    Principal Investigator (PI)

    2021

    $396.6K
    Active
  • Funding agency logo
    Collaborative Research: OpenDendro - Advanced Open-Source Tools for Paleoenvironmental Reconstruction

    Principal Investigator (PI)

    2021

    $143.1K
    Active
  • Funding agency logo
    Drivers of Oscillations in Western US Cool-season Precipitation

    Principal Investigator (PI)

    2021

    $89.9K
    Active
  • Funding agency logo
    CNH2-L: Feedbacks between Urban Food Security and Rural Agricultural Systems

    Principal Investigator (PI)

    2019

    $1.6M
    Active
  • Funding agency logo
    Collaborative Research: 2000 Years of Variability in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) from Tree Rings and Ice

    Principal Investigator (PI)

    2019

    $149.9K
    Active
News
  • Tree Rings and the Laki Volcano Eruption: A Closer Look at Climate

    2021

  • Positive Societal Response to Past Climate Variability Sets an Example for Today

    2021

  • Virtual Science Lecture Series to Examine Water's Cosmic Past and Challenging Future

    2021

  • When Reporting Climate-Driven Human Migration, Place Matters

    2019

  • UA Tree-Ring Research Helps Analyze Droughts in Mongolia

    2018

  • For Threatened Coffee Crops, Tree Rings May Offer Answers

    2017

  • Drought in Eastern Mediterranean Worst of Past 900 Years

    2016

  • 20th Century One of Driest in Nine Centuries for Northwest Africa

    2010

  • Megadroughts in Sub-Saharan Africa Normal for the Region

    2009

Publications (107)
Recent
  • Intra-Annual Climate Anomalies in Northwestern North America Following the 1783--1784 CE Laki Eruption

    2022

  • The Origin of Tree-Ring Reconstructed Summer Cooling in Northern Europe During the 18th Century Eruption of Laki

    2022

  • Paleohydrological context for recent floods and droughts in the Fraser River Basin, British Columbia, Canada

    2021

  • A Band Model of Cambium Development: Opportunities and Prospects

    2021

  • Pattern-based downscaling of snowpack variability in the western United States

    2021

  • Spatiotemporal Peatland Productivity and Climate Relationships Across the Western South American Altiplano

    2021

  • The influence of decision-making in tree ring-based climate reconstructions

    2021

  • Towards a rigorous understanding of societal responses to climate change

    2021

  • Glacial-Interglacial Shifts Dominate Tropical Indo-Pacific Hydroclimate During the Late Pleistocene

    2021

  • Tree Rings and Observations Suggest No Stable Cycles in Sierra Nevada Cool-Season Precipitation

    2021

  • A data assimilation approach to last millennium temperature field reconstruction using a limited high-sensitivity proxy network

    2021

  • Increased drought severity tracks warming in the United States’ largest river basin

    2020

  • Does signal-free detrending increase chronology coherence in large tree-ring networks?

    2020

  • An interpreted language implementation of the Vaganov--Shashkin tree-ring proxy system model

    2020

  • A late Holocene subfossil Atlantic white cedar tree-ring chronology from the northeastern United States

    2020

  • A framework for determining population-level vulnerability to climate: evidence for growth hysteresis in Chamaecyparis thyoides along its contiguous latitudinal distribution

    2020

  • Resolving the differences in the simulated and reconstructed temperature response to volcanism

    2020

  • A narrow window of summer temperatures associated with shrub growth in Arctic Alaska

    2020

  • Twenty-first century drought projections in the CMIP6 forcing scenarios

    2020

  • Snowpack signals in North American tree rings

    2020

  • Topography influences species-specific patterns of seasonal primary productivity in a semiarid montane forest

    2020

  • Multivariate climate field reconstructions using tree rings for the northeastern United States

    2020

  • Improved dendroclimatic calibration using blue intensity in the southern Yukon

    2019

  • The potential to strengthen temperature reconstructions in ecoregions with limited tree line using a multispecies approach

    2019

  • Tree-ring reconstructions of cool season temperature for far southeastern Australia, 1731--2007

    2019

  • A high yield cellulose extraction system for small whole wood samples and dual measurement of carbon and oxygen stable isotopes

    2019

  • Radiocarbon and geologic evidence reveal Ilopango volcano as source of the colossal `mystery' eruption of 539/40 CE

    2019

  • A Euro-Mediterranean tree-ring reconstruction of the winter NAO index since 910CE

    2019

  • A double bootstrap approach to Superposed Epoch Analysis to evaluate response uncertainty

    2019

  • Coupled Modes of North Atlantic Ocean-Atmosphere Variability and the Onset of the Little Ice Age

    2019

  • Climate Change and Drought: From Past to Future

    2018

  • Large-scale, millennial-length temperature reconstructions from tree-rings

    2018

  • Spatiotemporal Variability in the Climate Growth Response of High Elevation Bristlecone Pine in the White Mountains of California

    2018

  • Past and Future Drought in Mongolia

    2018

  • Freshwater Stress on Small Island Developing States: Population Projections and Aridity Changes at 1.5oC and 2oC

    2018

  • Tree Rings, Climate, and the Communal Forests of Totonicapán, Guatemala

    2018

  • Isotopic characterization of late Neogene travertine deposits at Barrancas Blancas in the eastern Atacama Desert, Chile

    2017

  • European and Mediterranean hydroclimate responses to tropical volcanic forcing over the last millennimum

    2017

  • Effects of Drought on Xylem Anatomy and Water-Use Efficiency of Two Co-Occurring Pine Species

    2017

  • Tree rings reveal climate change past, present, and future

    2017

  • Last millennium Northern Hemisphere summer temperatures from tree rings: Part II, spatially resolved reconstructions

    2017

  • A global multiproxy database for temperature reconstructions of the Common Era

    2017

  • Tree growth and vegetation activity at the ecosystem-scale in the eastern Mediterranean

    2017

  • Climate controls on tree growth in the Western Mediterranean

    2017

  • Experiments based on blue intensity for reconstructing North Pacific temperatures along the Gulf of Alaska

    2017

  • Comparing proxy and model estimates of hydroclimate variability and change over the Common Era

    2017

  • On the Production of Climate Information in the High Mountain Forests of Guatemala

    2017

  • Internal ocean-atmosphere variability drives megadroughts in Western North America

    2016

  • Last millennium northern hemisphere summer temperatures from tree rings: Part I: The long term context

    2016

  • Spatiotemporal drought variability in the Mediterranean over the last 900years

    2016

  • Future freshwater stress for island populations

    2016

  • On the A.D. 1815 Tambora eruption and the matter of misplaced tree rings

    2015

  • Multi-scale drought and ocean-atmosphere variability in monsoon Asia

    2015

  • Tree-ring reconstructed dry season rainfall in Guatemala

    2015

  • A long-term context (931-2005 C.E.) for rapid warming over Central Asia

    2015

  • Tree-ring reconstructed temperature index for coastal northern Japan: implications for western North Pacific variability

    2015

  • Tropical sea surface temperatures for the past four centuries reconstructed from coral archives

    2015

  • Volcanic eruptions and climate

    2015

  • Reconstructed summer temperatures over the last 400~years based on larch ring widths: Sakhalin Island, Russian Far East

    2015

  • Pluvials, droughts, the Mongol Empire, and modern Mongolia

    2014

  • Dendroclimatology in the eastern Mediterranean

    2014

  • Dendrochronological Dating of the World Trade Center Ship, Lower Manhattan, New York City

    2014

  • Spatial patterns of eastern Mediterranean climate influence on tree growth

    2014

  • How unusual is the 2012-2014 California drought?

    2014

  • Identifying coherent spatiotemporal modes in time-uncertain proxy paleoclimate records

    2013

  • Multidecadal variability in East African hydroclimate controlled by the Indian Ocean

    2013

  • Bayesian parameter estimation and interpretation for an intermediate model of tree-ring width

    2013

  • Tree-Ring-Reconstructed Summer Temperatures from Northwestern North America during the Last Nine Centuries

    2013

  • Annual chronology and climate response in Abies guatemalensis Rehder (Pinaceae) in Central America

    2013

  • Volcanic cooling signal in tree ring temperature records for the past millennium

    2013

  • Continental-scale temperature variability during the past two millennia

    2013

  • Tree-ring reconstructed summer temperature anomalies for temperate East Asia since 800 CE

    2013

  • Paleoclimate histories improve access and sustainability in index insurance programs

    2013

  • A large-scale coherent signal of canopy status in maximum latewood density of tree rings at arctic treeline in North America

    2013

  • Applications of proxy system modeling in high resolution paleoclimatology

    2013

  • A long-term perspective on a modern drought in the American Southeast

    2012

  • Regional climatic and North Atlantic Oscillation signatures in West Virginia red cedar over the past millennium

    2012

  • Pre-Columbian deforestation as an amplifier of drought in Mesoamerica

    2012

  • Tree rings and volcanic cooling

    2012

  • Snow cover and precipitation impacts on dry season streamflow in the Lower Mekong Basin

    2012

  • Forced and unforced variability of twentieth century North American droughts and pluvials

    2011

  • Long tree-ring chronologies reveal 20th century increases in water-use efficiency but no enhancement of tree growth at five Iberian pine forests

    2011

  • SEASCORR: A MATLAB program for identifying the seasonal climate signal in an annual tree-ring time series

    2011

  • Repurposing climate reconstructions for drought prediction in Southeast Asia

    2011

  • Spatiotemporal drought variability in northwestern Africa over the last nine centuries

    2011

  • Varying boreal forest response to Arctic environmental change at the Firth River, Alaska

    2011

  • An efficient forward model of the climate controls on interannual variation in tree-ring width

    2011

  • A Homogeneous Record (1896-2006) of Daily Weather and Climate at Mohonk Lake, New York

    2010

  • Tropical cloud forest climate variability and the demise of the Monteverde golden toad

    2010

  • Influence of volcanic eruptions on the climate of the Asian monsoon region

    2010

  • Climate as a contributing factor in the demise of Angkor, Cambodia

    2010

  • Asian Monsoon Failure and Megadrought During the Last Millennium

    2010

  • Correction of tree ring stable carbon isotope chronologies for changes in the carbon dioxide content of the atmosphere

    2009

  • Tree growth and inferred temperature variability at the North American Arctic treeline

    2009

  • Atlantic Forcing of Persistent Drought in West Africa

    2009

  • Consequences of a rapid cellulose extraction technique for oxygen isotope and radiocarbon analyses

    2008

  • Experimental reconstruction of monsoon drought variability for Australasia using tree rings and corals

    2008

  • Stable isotope chronology and climate signal calibration in neotropical montane cloud forest trees

    2008

  • Long term context for recent drought in northwestern Africa

    2008

  • Exorcising the `segment length curse': Summer temperature reconstruction since AD 1640 using non-detrended stable carbon isotope ratios from pine trees in northern Finland

    2007

  • A forward modeling approach to paleoclimatic interpretation of tree-ring data

    2006

  • Forward modeling of regional scale tree-ring patterns in the southeastern United States and the recent influence of summer drought

    2006

  • A 2000-year reconstruction of forest disturbance from southern Pacific Costa Rica

    2005

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